Data & Analytics Insights

Data-driven intelligence is key to navigate the flux

Alessandro Sanos

Global Director Customer Strategy & Execution – Commodities
  • Navigating uncertainty with intelligence – Geopolitical tensions, climate policies, and extreme weather are reshaping global markets. Businesses must rethink risk and investment strategies to stay ahead in this evolving landscape.
  • The power of data-driven insights – In a world of interconnected commodity markets, isolated data sets can be misleading. Holistic analytics and AI-enhanced forecasting unlock deeper understanding, helping firms anticipate trends and optimise decisions.
  • Turning volatility into opportunity – Extreme market fluctuations demand swift, informed action. By leveraging advanced analytics and predictive models, businesses can enhance decision-making, mitigate risks, and gain a competitive edge in the energy transition.

The current flux of geopolitical tensions, extreme weather, and climate policies, whilst creating unprecedented challenges to transition to a new energy mix, are offering new opportunities as they force businesses to rethink how they approach risk and investments.

The transition to net-zero is not just a concept nor a distant reality – it is happening now, with industry actively moving in that direction and reshaping markets in unprecedented ways. They are strategic assets, unlocking insights that help commodity trading firms anticipate trends and take critical action.

Connecting the dots: a holistic view of the market

Commodity markets do not exist in isolation. The price of energy is shaped by regulatory shifts, extreme weather events impact both demand and supply, geopolitical disruptions create volatility across supply chains. Understanding how these forces interconnect is critical, and yet many data solutions focus on isolated data sets instead of offering a comprehensive view.

Data alone is not enough, and analysing a given component of the energy mix without understanding its interdependency with the other commodities markets – metals and shipping being an example – can be risky.  The real value lies in holistic analytics that connect the dots across data sets and markets – transforming raw information into actionable intelligence.

At LSEG, we deliver a global intelligence platform that – among other things – integrates high-frequency data with satellite imagery and machine learning algorithms, giving clients an unparalleled view of around 190 global commodities markets across energy, metals and agriculture.

We leverage AI-enhanced predictive models, anomaly detection systems and dynamic forecasting techniques to generate precision-driven risk assessments. Our analytics use automated anomaly detection to refine demand and storage forecasts, whilst our power market forecasting – built with hourly granularity out to 2035 – delivers unparalleled visibility into long-term market trends.

Our Research teams, strategically located across Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and the Americas, provide localised insights with a global perspective.

Enhancing decision-making in volatile markets

With extreme volatility becoming the norm, businesses need to act swiftly and decisively. Our analytics empower clients to adjust trading strategies in real-time, optimise portfolios and mitigate risks effectively. For example, our cross-commodity correlation models help traders uncover deeper inter-market dependencies, enabling more accurate price forecasts and risk assessments.

Meanwhile, our carbon market insights track emerging regulatory shifts, ensuring clients remain ahead of policy changes that impact energy pricing and trading strategies, and our automated anomaly detection in gas analytics helps clients refine demand and storage forecasts, improving visibility in an unpredictable market.

Data & Analytics as a competitive advantage

In recognition of our unique position in this market, LSEG Data &Analytics was recently announced as the winner of the Energy Risk Award for Data & Analytics Firm of the Year. This is more than just a remarkable an achievement, it is validation that data-driven intelligence is the foundation of successful decision-making in the energy industry. At LSEG, we continue to expand proprietary data sets, refine predictive models and enhance analytics capabilities, ensuring that clients always have a competitive edge.

The energy transition will undoubtedly continue to bring complexity, but with the right intelligence, businesses can navigate uncertainty with confidence. LSEG is leading the way, delivering cutting-edge market insights, AI-powered analytics and industry-leading data solutions that help clients turn volatility into opportunity.

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