Robin Marshall, MA, MPhil
Head of FICC Research
Monthly report
Inflation dominates as markets mull AI
Key highlights:
- A second leg of the energy shock forces more tightening, including the RBI…
- … even if wider inflation targets give greater flexibility to accommodate inflation shocks, unlike the G7.
- Favourable Indonesian debt metrics protect bond market from equity index woes.
- Indian yields rose after the RBI move, but Indian debt might benefit most from an AI slowdown…
- …as early signs of investors mulling a slower AI cycle emerged in October, alongside bouts of risk-off.
Published monthly by FTSE Russell FICC Research, this report:
- Covers key developments in government bond markets across India, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand.
- Assesses macroeconomic and policy developments in each country and globally, and their implications for local bond markets.
- Includes analysis of yield curve movements and spreads.
- Presents performance returns and yield movements using FTSE Russell indices.
- Features a rotating monthly spotlight on one of the five economies.
Past monthly editions
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - October 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - September 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - August 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - July 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - June 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - May 2026
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Emerging Asia (ex China) government bonds - April 2026